email@example.com | (865) 974-1637 | Stokely Management Center, Office #221
1984 - Florida State University, Ph.D. Statistics
1980 - Florida State University, M.S. Statistics
1978 - University of Kentucky, M.A. Mathematics
1975 - Wheaton College, IL, B.S. Mathematics
Strength of Materials (esp. engineered wood)
Finalist for the University of Tennessee's CBA Outstanding Commitment to Students Award which was awarded spring 2013.
One of 10 from University of Tennessee's CBA nominated for Alumni Teaching Award in 2003. Also, nominated other years.
Invited to Sophomore Honors students' dinner, October 25, 2005.
University of Tennessee's National Freshman Honor Society (Phi Eta Sigma, top 15 % of first year students) Teacher of the Year in 1997 University wide award to only one faculty. Nominated by and decided by the honor students of previous year.
University of Tennessee's College of Business Teacher Award: "Finalist" in 1995. Nominated many other years.
University of Tennessee's College of Business Undergraduate Advisor: "Award Winner" in 1995, "Finalist" in 1994.
"Ralph Bradley PhD Student Award" in 1984 for outstanding achievement at Florida State University's Department of Statistics. (Recall Dr. Bradley is a former President of the American Statistical Association, ASA.)
"Frank Wilcoxon's Best First Year Student in Applied Statistics Honor" in 1979, at Florida State University's Department of Statistics. (Recall the same as in famous Frank Wilcoxon Rank Sum Tests and other Nonparametric procedures.)
Invited International Advisory Committee member of International Conference on Quality, Reliability and Operations Research: Emerging Areas and Practice in Kolkata (Calcutta) December 16-19, 2014. This is for the SQC & OR Unit (Department) sixty years celebration (Diamond Jubilee).
Invited paper/talk Indian Statistical Institute Kolkata (Calcutta) 75th Anniversary January 2008 on mean residual life, my former student J. Cody Steele of Minitab presented. This is a world class group. For example, note that R. A. Fisher of the "F" statistics and MLE fame visited and taught short courses at ISI, etc. http://www.isical.ac.in/~iconqr08/
Invited speaker for Myles Hollander's Day Conference on Nonparametric Statistics, Survival Analysis and Reliability April 20-21, 2007. Recall Myles Hollander is a former Editor of the Journal of the American Statistical Association, ranked the most cited mathematical science journal in the world. JASA is ranked the number one statistical journal in the world by scholars doing a worldwide survey.
Young, T. and Guess, F. (2005). Invited Keynote Speaker. Only four keynote talks: others included Stuart Hunter of Princeton University, Stu you recall is founding Editor of Technometrics and a past President of the ASA, another keynote was Billionaire John Sall co-founder of SAS, plus principal developer of JMP. A Data Platform Opportunity for JMP: Real-Time Relational Databases of Destructive Test and Manufacturing Process Data. 2nd SAS JMP User Conference, SAS World Headquarter, Cary, North Carolina, June 7-8, 2005. I co-presented with former student T. Young.
Invited International Program Committee Member (16 on the worldwide committee) for International Workshop on Reliability & Is Application. Sponsored by the U.S.A. National Science Foundation (NSF), the Korean Reliability Society (KORAS) and others. 2003. Work continued into 2004 duties.
Also, noteworthy is my connections to MIT Sloan School of Management International Conference on Information Quality. Note in 2002 I was invited to be the 2003 co-program academic chair Dr. Wang of the elite conference at MIT's Sloan School of Management's Information Quality Conference, but I declined to balance family health needs that year. I did accept opportunities to serve on the academic program committee, which involved refereeing, etc. in other years, such as 2007 and before then.
Speaker: Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Sloan School of Management International Conference on Information Quality, October, 1999 & October, 2000. Total: 72 & 85 participants worldwide. In 2001 and 2002, I had two students attend this MIT Sloan International Conference in other years.
Invited Program Committee Member: First International Research Conference on Lifetime Data Models held at Harvard University, co-sponsored by the Statistics Department at Harvard University, June, 1994. A co-author and PhD student presented our invited paper there.
Invited Program Committee Member and speaker: Fourth International Reliability Research Conference held at the University of Missouri, Columbia, June, 1991.
Kim, H., Guess, F. M., and Young, T. M. (2012). An extension of Regression Trees to generate better predictive models. IIE Transaction on Quality and Reliability Engineering. 43 (11). doi: 10.1080/0740817X.2011.590441. Available online: June 21, 2011. Print version January, 2012.
Edwards, D.J., León, R.V., Young, T.M., Guess, F.M., and Crookston, K.A. (2012). Comparison of Two Wood Plastic Composite Extruders Using Bootstrap Confidence Intervals on Measurements of Sample Failure Data. Quality Engineering, 25(1), 23-33.
Edwards, D., Guess, F., and Young, T. (2011). Bootstrap confidence intervals for percentiles of reliability of modern engineered wood. Wood Science and Technology, 45(3): 533-546.
(Click for online version)
Crookston, K. A., Young, T. M., Harper, D. and Guess, F. M. (2011). A comparison of two wood plastic composite extrusion processes using statistical reliability analysis. Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 96:172-177. (Click for online version)
Li, Y., Tao, K., Leόn, R.L., and Guess, F.M. (2011). Estimation of error from treating travel time as additional repair time. IEEE Transaction on Reliability 60, 441-447. (Online Link)
Guess, F. and Redman, T. (2010 & 2011). Data quality (Poor Quality Data: The Fly in the Data Analytics Ointment). *International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science, 345-346. Editor: Dr. Miodrag Lovric. Springer. (Click for online version)
Steele, J. C., Guess, F., Young, T. M., Edwards, D. J. (2010 & 2011). Mean residual life. *International Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, 791-792. Editor: Dr. Miodrag Lovric. Springer. (Click for online version)
Singh, M., Guess, F., Young, T., and Liu, L. (2010 & 2011). Modeling randomness using system dynamics concepts. *International Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, 839-841. Editor: Dr. Miodrag Lovric. Springer. (Click for online version)
Young, T., Guess, F.M., Chastain, J.S., and León, R.V. (2009). Estimating upper percentiles of strand thickness for oriented strand board. Forest Products Journal.59(10), 79-88. (Click for PDF version)
Guess, F., Redman, T., and Singh, M. (2009). Physicians and data quality. Encyclopedia of Medical Decision Making. (Peer reviewed as part of the Encyclopedia process.) Editor: Michael Kattan of Cleveland Clinic. 253−256. Sage Publishing, Inc.
León, R.V., Li, Y., Guess, F.M., and Sawhney, R. (2009). Effect of not having homogeneous test units in accelerated life test. Journal of Quality Technology.41, 241–246.
Young, T.M., D.G. Perhac, F.M. Guess and R.V. León. (2008). Bootstrap confidence intervals for percentiles of reliability data for wood plastic composites. Forest Products Journal.58(11), 106-114.
Clapp, N. E. Jr, Young, T. M. and Guess, F. M. (2008). Predictive modeling the internal bond of medium density fiberboard using a modified principal component analysis. Forest Product Journal. 58(4), 49-55. ASIDE: One anonymous referee commented on this paper, "The research is an original, theoretical one with significant practical potentials." Dr. M.K. Jeong said our modification of PCA was innovative and creative, when he met with Ned Clapp and me on these topics.
Young, T.M., Shaffer, L.B., Guess, F.M., Bensmail, H., and León, R. V. (2008). A comparison of multiple linear regression and quantile regression for modeling the internal bond of medium density fiberboard. Forest Product Journal. 58(4), 39-48.
Shaffer, L.B., T.M. Young, F.M. Guess, H. Bensmail and R.V. León. (2008). Using R software for reliability data analysis. International Journal of Reliability and Application. 9(1), 53-70. (Click for online version)
Perhac, D.G., Young, T.M., Guess, F.M., and León, R.L. (2007). Exploring reliability of wood-plastic composites: stiffness and flexural strengths. International Journal of Reliability and Application. 8(2), 153-174. (Click for online version)
Ammar, A. M., Guess, F. M., and Usher, J. S. (2007). Estimators for reliability measures in geometric distribution model using dependent masked system life test data. IEEE Transaction in Reliability. 56(2), 312-320.
Nukala, S., Nukala P., Simunovic, S. and Guess, F. (2006). Crack cluster distributions in the random fuse model. Physical Review E 73 036109 (2006), 1-6. (High Impact Journal of 3.y to 2.x depending on the year, for year 2006 Impact 2.5.)
Chen, W., León, R., Young, T. and Guess, F., (2006). Applying a forced censoring technique with accelerated modeling for improving estimation of extremely small percentiles of strengths. International Journal of Reliability and Application. 7(1), 27- 39. (Click for online version)
Guess, F., Zhang, X., Young, T. León, R., (2005). Using mean residual life functions for unique insights into strengths of materials data. International Journal of Reliability and Application.6 (2), 79 – 85. (Click for online version)
Guess, F., León, R., Chen, W. and Young, T. (2004). Forcing a closer fit in the lower tails of a distribution for better estimating extremely small percentiles of strengths. International Journal of Reliability and Application, 5 (4), 129-143. (Click for online version)
Walker, E. and Guess, F. (2003). Comparing reliabilities of the strength of two container designs: a case study. Journal of Data Science1, 185-197.
Young, T. and Guess, F. (2002). Mining information in automated relational databases for improving reliability in forest products manufacturing. International Journal of Reliability and Application3 (4), 155-164. (Click for online version)
Edwards, D., Guess, F.M., and Young, T.M. (2002). "Information quality in Forest Products" Information Quality Conference in 2002 at Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Sloan School of Management Proceedings. PowerPoint Slides in Refereed Proceedings.
Guess, F.M., Wan, I, and Bates, R. (2001). "Information quality at FedEx" Information Quality Conference in 2001 at Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Sloan School of Management Proceedings. PowerPoint Slides in Refereed Proceedings.
Collins, M. and Guess, F. (2000). Improving information quality in loan approval processes for fair lending and fair pricing. Information Quality Conference in 2000 at Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Sloan School of Management Proceedings, pp. 45-53. PAPER in Refereed MIT Proceedings.
Dobbins, J. G. and Guess, F. (1999). Developing a data quality strategy in a provider of Web based health information systems. Information Quality Conference in 1999 at Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Sloan School of Management Proceedings, pp. 176-184. PAPER in Refereed MIT Proceedings. C. Evert Koop was founder of that Web based company, which Dr. Dobbins worked.
Guess, F., Nam, K. and Park, D. (1998). Failure rates and mean residual life with trend changes. Asia-Pacific Journal of Operation Research 15, 239-244.
Lin, D., Usher, J. and Guess, F. (1996). Bayesian estimation of component-reliability from masked system-life data. IEEE Transactions on Reliability 45, 233-237.
Reiser, B., Guttman, I., Lin, D., Guess, F., and Usher, J. (1995). Bayesian inference for masked system lifetime data. Journal of Royal Statistical Society, Ser. C. 44, 79-90.
Young, T. and Guess, F. (1994). Reliability processes and structures. Microelectronics and Reliability 34, 1107-1119.
Lin, D. and Guess, F. (1994). System life data analysis with dependent partial knowledge on the exact cause of system failure. Microelectronics and Reliability 34, 535-544.
Lin, D., Usher, J. and Guess, F. (1993). Exact maximum likelihood estimation using masked system data. IEEE Transactions on Reliability 42, 631-635.
Guess, F., Usher, J. and Hodgson, T. (1991). Estimating system and component reliabilities under partial information on cause of failure. Journal of Statistical Planning & Inference 29, 75-85.
Guess, F. and Park, D. H. (1991). Nonparametric confidence bounds on the mean residual life using censored data. IEEE Transactions on Reliability 40, 78-80.
Guess, F. and Kitchin, J. (1991). Mean time to system recovery. Quality and Reliability Engineering: International 7, 5-6.
Hoover, D. and Guess, F. (1990). Response linked censoring: modeling and estimation. Biometrika 77, 893-896. Earlier version appeared as STANFORD UNIVERSITY: Department of Statistics Technical Report No. 422. (Editor who reviewed: D. R. Cox, famous for the Cox proportional Hazard Model.)
Usher, J. and Guess, F. (1990). Application of Bayesian reliability tools in the 1990's. Reliability Review 10, 4: 9-13.
Usher, J. and Guess, F. (1989). An iterative approach to estimate component reliability from masked system life data. Quality and Reliability Engineering: International 5, 257-261.
Guess, F. and Park, D. H. (1988). Modeling discrete bathtub and upside down bathtub mean residual life functions. IEEE Transactions on Reliability 37, 545-549.
Berger, R., Boos, D. and Guess, F. (1988). Tests and confidence sets for comparing two mean residual life functions. Biometrics 44, 103-115.
Guess, F., and Proschan F. (1988). Mean residual life: theory and applications. Handbook of Statistics: Quality Control and Reliability (P. R. Krishnaiah and C. R. Rao, Eds.) 7, 215-224. Amsterdam: North Holland. INVITED PAPER.
Guess, F., Hollander, M. and Proschan, F. (1986). Testing exponentiality versus a trend change in mean residual life. Annals of Statistics 14, 1388-1398.